Exponential Growth Arithmetic, Population and Energy, Dr. Albert A. Bartlett
5 人推荐 · 跨 5 个月 · 2019–2021
中文导读
物理学家 Albert Bartlett 广为人知的经典公开课，运用基础数学原理剖析指数增长，并将其投射到人口与能源消耗上。他指出在有限的世界里，固定的百分比复合增长不可能永远持续，且危机往往在悄无声息中骤然降临。
为什么 HN 推它
剖析人类大脑为何天生不理解「指数增长」的封神之讲。每逢 HN 讨论复利效应、疫情扩散、加密货币或资源枯竭极限时，这堂课必定出场。
「讲座对这个核心论点的阐释太精妙了，强烈推荐。」HN 网友原话：The point is well illustrated in the talk, I highly recommend it.
英文原摘要（HackerTube / Claude 整理）
A recording of physicist Albert Bartlett's well-known lecture on the arithmetic of exponential growth, applied to population and energy use. He argues that steady percentage growth in a finite world cannot continue and sneaks up suddenly.
Treated as the classic lecture on why people misjudge exponential growth, and pulled out in threads on compound growth, epidemics, crypto and resource limits.
HN 上的提及
Growth works great... until at some point it doesn't. Obligatory Albert Bartlett video
A requisite response to those who mention compound growth (interest) and the fallacy of it "never" ending
The point is well illustrated in the talk, I highly recommend it.
I've always liked the lecture "Exponential Growth, Population and Energy" by Dr. Albert Bartlett.
The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function