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Is Most Published Research Wrong?

Veritasium
8 人推荐 · 跨 8 个月 · 2017–2025
科学方法与科学传播数据科学与统计学
Is Most Published Research Wrong?

中文导读

科普频道 Veritasium 深度解析了为何大量已发表的科研论文结论可能是错的。内容涵盖 p 值陷阱、p-hacking(数据钓鱼)、期刊发表偏差以及极低的复现率,并引用了 John Ioannidis 的经典论文与预注册等改进方案。

为什么 HN 推它

每当学术界曝出水论文、复现危机或对 p<0.05 机械崇拜的争论时,HN 网友总会贴出这个视频作为最通俗有力的避坑指南。

「想要搞清楚科学界假阳性问题,这是绝佳的入门课。」HN 网友原话:This video is a good primer
英文原摘要(HackerTube / Claude 整理)

Veritasium explains why a large share of published research findings may be false, covering p-values, p-hacking, publication bias and low replication rates. It draws on John Ioannidis's well-known paper and describes reforms such as preregistration.

HN commenters link it whenever a shaky study or the p<0.05 threshold comes up, as a short primer on false positives in science.

HN 上的提及

rec burntrelish1273 · 2017-04 · HN 原文
Videos demonstrating this with examples
rec ReligiousFlames · 2017-05 · HN 原文
There's an interesting video by Veratasium "Is Most Published Research Wrong?
rec wolfram74 · 2017-07 · HN 原文
This video walks through an example calculation and what kinds of steps are being taken to improve on things.
reference DiThi · 2017-07 · HN 原文
reference trapperkeeper74 · 2017-10 · HN 原文
Cited on bad papers and low p-value standards.

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